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FINANCIAL DEEPENING AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: ARDL AND NARDL TECHNIQUES
Abstract
Financial firms’ services are considered germane to an economy’s expansion universally. 2015-2016 economic and financial in Nigeria can be accredited to the hollowness of the financial firm contracting the economy by 2.06%, 63.7% market capitalization, and 67.2% in all share indexes losses. Prior empirical techniques focus primarily on finance-growth linear nexus. Which begs the question is the reported linear nexus a function of the linear assumption test power or earth evidence? The baseline ARDL and NARDL techniques are used in this research. To observe if there is a possibility of a non-linear association, for structural breaks, the Zivot and Andrews tests were used, as well as Granger causality to test for causality. From 1999Q1-2019Q4, quarterly data from the three arms of financial firms “insurance, banking, and stock market” were used. Findings revealed that economic growth adjusts non-linearly at a faster pace. A variety of macro-non-macroeconomic and financial factors can be implicated in the non-linear adjustment. A bi-directional link between the variables was revealed by causal nexus.
Keywords Financial Sector Deepening, Economic Growth, Nigeria, ARDL, NARDL